Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.606688e-01 0.469770 0.588621 0.725874 0.878356 1.041117 1.226616
2025-08-24 1.753973e-01 0.306127 0.467615 0.671905 0.915469 1.190145 1.517580
2025-08-31 9.820372e-02 0.229043 0.409435 0.653402 0.957894 1.312630 1.746102
2025-09-07 5.645417e-02 0.183773 0.379880 0.660872 1.024457 1.458364 1.997969
2025-09-14 2.739037e-02 0.142788 0.345702 0.654067 1.066797 1.570028 2.205354
2025-09-21 9.099882e-03 0.105889 0.308336 0.636280 1.090265 1.655178 2.378340
2025-09-28 4.009329e-03 0.096376 0.312738 0.675779 1.187160 1.829964 2.658400
2025-10-05 1.591161e-03 0.091702 0.324164 0.724776 1.296264 2.019821 2.956762
2025-10-12 1.847637e-04 0.084000 0.328074 0.761464 1.388216 2.187830 3.228419
2025-10-19 4.612462e-07 0.084060 0.346740 0.820625 1.510774 2.394693 3.547875
2025-10-26 NaN 0.079942 0.355871 0.864489 1.612160 2.574630 3.834388
2025-11-02 NaN 0.067156 0.343899 0.873665 1.664799 2.691861 4.043390
2025-11-09 NaN 0.041605 0.295871 0.823322 1.635928 2.708070 4.133212
2025-11-16 NaN 0.021221 0.247166 0.765944 1.593910 2.705636 4.199235
2025-11-23 NaN 0.011796 0.222287 0.746012 1.603153 2.767938 4.344036
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007619 0.213365 0.754048 1.653080 2.883819 4.556375
2025-12-07 NaN 0.003530 0.197407 0.746745 1.678941 2.966910 4.726641
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000741 0.176837 0.727665 1.685461 3.023100 4.861970
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000676 0.186106 0.770016 1.786918 3.208060 5.162475
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000865 0.200117 0.822444 1.904185 3.414690 5.491022
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000713 0.207819 0.861630 2.000936 3.593547 5.784086
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001188 0.226821 0.924700 2.134977 3.823274 6.142678
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001215 0.238007 0.971378 2.243606 4.018569 6.457227